“Transition Economics (TE) is a new, easy to learn, game-changing science. Where Economics is old, theoretical, unscientific, non-deterministic, proven false logic and consensus, TE’s evidence‑based approach and quantitative data science is simple – and proves advance or collapse to double economies reliably”

Transition Economics NOW!

Economics is an evidence-based computer science, and not the math-based theory and ideology taught in our universities today. Theory is not needed in Transition Economics and TE is monitored to ensure that its 100% scientific approach is maintained

Productivity – builds strong economies reliably, while Wealth theory’s Micro and Macroeconomics Profit and Oligarchy-led guiding principles provably collapse both economies AND societies. Cite: Proof

	With GL-BOK

Leadership and Policy ensure collapse or advance 100%.  Teaching evidence-based science is essential in all faculties of Economics, Business, Finance, Social, Law, and Government Studies. Science is measurable, observable, and repeatable; and, it calculates the same result whoever analyses it, unlike today’s theory and ideology-based approaches

The curricula that our universities teach in these faculties today, however, are belief-based theory and ideology 100%

Micro and Macroeconomics, Relationship Economics, Environmental Economics, Doughnut Economics; Supply & Demand, Profit & Cost, Labor, scarcity, GDP,  scale-up trickledown, finance accounting, open markets, etc., were assumed important but never confirmed to assure advance by evidence-based survey and observation. There is no evidence to support that any of this curriculum builds an advancing economy, and there is much evidence to confirm that wealth theory collapses economies reliably too

Scientific Method calls proven-failed theory “fiction” for an important reason, today all economies lose $4 billion US per day on average, and the USA loses $30 billion (53% of their economy). The lessons in our universities were assumed to be true, and then logic and math were heaped on top of these theories until mathematics – became obfuscation entirely

“Economics studies how a horse should move, not how it does move” – citation sought

In Education, Marx and Friedman were unscientific because none of their terms and approaches are measurable in evidence. Theory-only curricula and Neoliberalism collapsed every society in history yet our universities teach only this

We don’t teach the proven Constitutions, Laws, and Bills of Rights that FDR used to build the greatest economy in history just 70-years-ago, which were taken from the 4,000-year-old scientific Bible that these academics dismiss as religion

Education has become an elephant in the room; courses are too long and expensive, dropout rates are too high, lessons are theory-only in 75% of credentialed programs, and we are recreating an irresponsible and expensive Tytler Cycle through our  training gaps in civics and human advance

In Public Policy: The observed collapse of 62% of 207 economies before COVID, means that a chimp with a dartboard has a statistically higher probability of choosing successful policy than a degreed economist does today; and this is a revelation that Harvard University econometric scientists have also begun to acknowledge in 2020 as well

In Business: Tactical business practices collapse societies today while Strategic business targets must advance economies, portfolios, and societies together

In Constitution: Right and left is theory, ideology, division – and weakness, there is only one “side”, it’s Advance. Most of today’s political groups offer collapse 100% and should be legally blocked from appearing on ballot cards

In Science: Good, Respect, and Human Advance – are measures proven to build successful societies reliably. Other explanations amount to theory, ideology, and religion.

Common Sense: is the social value of our decisions, and TE can measure and improve this as well

Zero Dangerous and Expensive Theory

Belief-based theories and ideologies can be dangerous, expensive, can empower poor leadership, and are irresponsible when we have reliable scientific alternatives. Wealth Theory, Marxism, Libertarian Neoliberalism (Transition Economy), Individualism, Left and Right, pro-democracy, anti-Monarchy, are ideologies, narrative, guesswork, and also lying – that create broad social collapse internationally today

Perhaps surprisingly, the Bible was scientific. Its “Revelation” used storytelling to warn us not to “tattoo ourselves” with the names of economic powers (“the beast”) who would then subjugate us into owners and slaves, as we lived for 1,000 years in the advanceless medieval dark ages

A Father, Son, and Holy Spirit were teaching tools that trained illiterate populations:  Good, Respect, and Human Advance, because these core values and behaviours were proven to build advance through 2,000 years of civic rise and fall

In the universities of collapsing nations, peer-reviewed curriculums mandate double-integral calculus to teach theory that actively ignore these lessons. This is a troubling problem. Calculus is a fine tool, but its also an unnecessary complexity that appears in Social Grad Schools only to obfuscate fictitious, failed economic theories

“What I want you to understand is the national debt is not the only cause [of declining economic conditions in America]. It is because America has not invested in its people. It is because we have not grown. It is because we’ve had 12-years of trickle-down economics. We’ve gone from first to twelfth in the world in wages. We’ve had four years where we’ve produced no private-sector jobs. Most people are working harder for less money than they were making 10-years ago. It is because we are in the grip of a failed economic theory.”

Bill Clinton, 1992

Fortunately, the scientific study, performance management, and improvement of economies and societies – is simple; and it’s so obviously credible that it requires almost no math to fake an appearance of credibility

Evidence-based social and economic studies require simple statistics, quality control methods, and some data science automation

Once you learn a science, you’ll never allow your educated self to be flimflammed by theory again

TE IS DIFFERENT

TE measures all available indicators and then scores and ranks them transparently:

1. GDP is a 2,000th of 24,000 ranked reports
2. GDP Growth – is a 1,200 rank report
3. GDP-per-Capita ranks 300th
4. GDP-PPP-per-Capita – 100th rank
5. Export-per-Capita – 200th Rank
6. Social Contract – is a #1 Ranked measure

Transition Economic’s top-ranked causal indicators are the measures that economic development groups can target, improvement, and thereby build reliable advance in any country

TE “steers” collapsing economies into turnaround and actively drives advance, where economics builds theory-based mathematic models to predict where a status quo is taking us in 10-years

Its the job of TE to direct advance using policy proven to offer the highest-probability-of-success, and its the job of Global Leadership‘s SUSTAIN Project Management to ensure that the changes created by automation or market changes, safeguard citizens and minimize social impact and collateral costs

Lessons Learned

These are TE’s scientific “Lessons Learned”. Transition Economics uses the most-meaningful Causal performance measures, to compare the success of all policies at work in every nation

There are 220 sovereign countries that make decisions about the exact same policies every day – home ownership, lending rates, inflation, business laissez-faire, regulation, export, import, taxes, education, healthcare, on and on

TE measures the economic and social performance resulting from their policy decisions, to confirm the policy targets that can advance nations reliably

TE is also simple and accessible, respecting Isaac Newton’s premise that:

“Truth is ever to be found in simplicity, and not in the multiplicity and confusion of things”

Transition Economics could not be developed within academia and is now Case Studied to be refused reading by eight major international university Grad Schools

As TE works very well, this surprising refusal created an extensive research paper and study of Academia’s counter‑productive defense of a $4‑billion loss per day international status quo. See that research article – “Our Academic Mediocracy”

As it turns out, Transition Economics stands in vaulted company in this way, because Einstein’s Theory of Relativity (e=mc²) stood for 20‑years before being acknowledged by Western academics outside Germany similarly. We discuss the obstacle of “Adoption” below

TE can Double Economies

TE can double economies reliably – as we see in this pie chart report of Social Contract Loss

Watch the movie MoneyBall (2011) to understand how game-changing a survey-driven approach like TE is to professional baseball

Casinos are widely regarded as fail-safe businesses, and yet this reliable success is not based on winning every transaction either. Casinos are successful only when they have a high volume of transactions as this ensures that their high probability of success games can win more often than lose for the house. Every seat in a casino has a probability attached to it, and can only fail if insufficient players attend the casino

An economy is a high transaction system that usually assures near-unlimited transactions, so mathematically beneficial policy will all create advance in any economy reliably. The same is true in reverse, as unsustainable policy or policy with a low probability of success, will reliably collapse any nation also.

This is the reason that ACT Parties are so important, as they ensure Governments only run policies proven in econometric science to Advance nations

Transition Economics allows nations to choose policies that have a higher probability of creating an advancing economy and society

If Economics was a science

If today’s Economics was a science, could we all live sustainably within the prosperous American Dream of the 1960s? And, without social problems and wars? Could we build World Peace reliably?

The correct answer to these questions – is Yes

Policy creates social and economic advance and collapse 100%  – Edward Tilley, GL-BOK

America built the strongest economy in history with a high-Social-Contract society back in the 1960s. Today Norway, Ireland, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the Netherlands maintain high social contracts – and all have strong economies today despite a global mature capitalism elsewhere. China is self-sufficient, productive, and continues to advance despite COVID. Clearly, a successful solution of policies exists for any economic era

Making Economics a science is as important as realizing that most countries share the same problems. In large democracies, Right and Left policies are meaningless, and the people who would divide us with this fiction also misreport, omit, and mislead voters too. Unsustainable policies collapse reliably and the mature capitalisms they create are mathematic certainties that are expensive, dangerous, and preventable

The first step in solving any problem is realizing you have a problem –  Zig Ziglar

Morality – is Advance

Every generation calls themselves “Modern”, but in the context of history’s hundreds of generations, few truly are.

Secular theory and ideologies (false idols) can collapse us just as quickly and assuredly as did the religious theories and ideologies of the medieval church during the Dark Ages, or NAZIs, Rome, Persia, Oligarchy, or any economic power “Beast”

For the philosophers in our midst, it’s important to realize that any civics instruction that supports and teaches socially harmful or meaningless policy is irresponsible. Moral policies are those that create sustainable success reliably in any era

Transition Economics Proves What?

TE is a deterministic, predictive science that surveys 1,600 indicators and indexes in 220 countries – and we sometimes consider centuries of historical data as well

Transition Economics takes the advice of the creator of two new sciences, Sir Issac Newton – to keep science simple. A causal indicator can usually be confirmed with a simple frequency distribution chart that any grade-9 student can create, and we rank causality scores with data science lessons that a grade-12 student can learn easily as well

 

With a TEP Chart, we can confirm that nations with a high Social Contract score have an advancing economy 100% of the time, while a low-scoring Social Contract nation has a collapse-trending economy 100% of the time.  This tells us that the indicator “Social Contract” might be a causal indicator, so next …

1. We determine causality using economic measures only – these measures have no social components, like Export per Capita, Trade Balance, GDP-PPP per Cap, Production, …
2. Then we ask “Is the indicator causal using social measures only” as well. There are many causal (important) measures that are social entirely – Social Contract, Maternal Death Rate, Living Wages, Savings, Deaths under age-5, Internet Access, Salaried Males, Longevity, etc …
3. When an indicator proves causality by economic and by social measures, next we validate that the indicator created successful economies elsewhere or in history by observation

For other indicators that are similarly causal, see csq1.org/WAOH

Wealth-theory GDP, Stock Market Performance, Supply, Demand, Cost, Profit, Labour, CPI, Consumption are not causal indicators – and most are meaningless in quantitative analysis.

Productivity indicators like Social Contract,  are scientifically reliable, evidence-based indicators of successful, advancing economies and societies; both today and through history

Society and Economy are NOT Separate

TE’s Social Contract Proof above proves that Mr. Dickens’ “Mankind is our Business” is more than just a platitude and that our people are our greatest resource, as a scientific fact. We only have to ensure that we vote for Leadership that gives people the resources and training that they need to be productive, to succeed reliably

In science, any “chicken and egg” discussion of whether a strong economy comes before a strong society – proves that high Social Contracts assure economic strength

There are 150 other Causal and Sustainable Indicators and Indexes cataloged and explained within the context of Socio-Economic Planning Methods in the WAOH economic library and reliable new indicators are discovered weekly …

TE proves that Bibles are textbooks describing how to build sustainable societies. Exclude the violent passages obviously, and 90% of laws and policies in Bibles are provably causal and sustainable in science. Family values, respect of community and neighbors, respect of husbands, wives, children, and elders; respect of employees through living wages and even sophisticated economic resets (Leviticus 25/26 – forwarded from 1763 BCE’s Code of Hammurabi) – are provably essential needs of sustainable socio-economic prosperity

With foundations in evidence-based deterministic science, data-science analytics, and epistemology (Expert Process), TE and SUSTAIN Program Management work together to build solutions for the biggest and most complex problems of Scientific Societies and Global Leadership

Global Leadership’s 100% evidence-based Methods and Programs makes extensive use of Transition Economics

Vote for Transition Economics

WAOH

Find our library of TE Proofs and Methods at the World At Our Hands Report

An Important New Science

It’s not very often that we have an opportunity to learn a completely new science. Most sciences are natural sciences, and TE is a far more important social science. Biologic science has matured for millennia, and yet how many people die of biological illness today? Natural sciences cannot prevent war, ensure good, respect, and human advance as can a reliable evidence-based social science in civics

The term “Science” is defined as “systematic and formulated knowledge”. All sciences begin simply, and then with time mature in both their applications and complexity.

“Truth is ever to be found in simplicity and not in the multiplicity and confusion of things.” – Sir Isaac Newton

Sir Isaac Newton’s “Principia” – Mathematical Principles of Natural Science, introduced scalar and vector measures (Physics) for the first time in 1687 and we have been building on that start for 350 years now. Pythagorian Theory 530 BC,  Triganometry 190 BC, Sin and Cosine Laws are 10th century AD sciences, Darwin’s Theory of Evolution 1859, Alan Turing’s electro-mechanical and digital computers 1943, and so on.

Transition Economics (TE) explains the mathematical principles of evidence-based Social and Economic Science – also called Civics. As such, TE is an essential foundation for academic faculties of Economics, Business, Finance, Law, Government, and Social Studies.

TE is a very simple science, but it’s computation-intense and therefore most effectively paired with a user-friendly data science, visualization tools, and a multi-viewpoint approach – see WAOH, MEMS, and GL-BOK.

TE’s Science of 70% is also important for scientific faculties of Physics, Astronomy, Medical, and any field of natural science where a gap exists between current math-based theory and observed evidence-based actual measures.

Global Leadership (GL) is an essential emerging new academic faculty that manages the performance of all faculties to ensure that the curricula we teach achieves socioeconomic and human advance – as they absolutely must.

GL-BOK – GL’s Book of Knowledge ensures that faculties can never again create the broad social and economic collapse that our current 100% theory-based curricula has created within unaccountable faculty and university silos today

Scientific Societies Programme (SSP) – SSPs performance-manage our national advance or collapse, lead projects designed to advance nations reliably and ensure social faculty curricula teaching only evidence-based social benefit in curricula. SSPs employ evidence-based policy and monitoring to achieve targets that double economies and advance humanity

New for 2022

TE Threshold Analytics (TE-TA)

Threshold Analytics was added to the GL-BOK, MEMS, and to Transition Economics in 2022

So much of Transition Economics’ evidence-based context was based on just a handful of Causal indicators, that questions arose about what could we be missing. TA’s inclusion of ALL high-scoring indicator thresholds is now available to address this question

A Netherlands citizen is three times more productive than a Canadian, which means Canada loses $3 billion every day. Can you spot why this is true here?

 

More datapoints add opportunities for navigatable confusion, and it also ensures that nothing can be overlooked

TE’s thresholding approach determines Advance, Collapse, and Causality status for indicators, for nations, and for industries. See our Science of 70% page for an explanation of how we create TE Thresholds

Announcing “The Book”

Three years in development, and one of the most important books of any century…

CSQ Research is very proud to announce a Case Study of The Global Leadership Book of Knowledge (GL-BOK), “The Book – The Scientific Update of the Bible”

Religions use the Bible but The Bible is not a religious document; it’s a civics textbook. “ta Biblia” means “The Books” in Greek, and its first five books are updates of the Codes (the Constitutions and Book of Laws) of Hammurabi and Ur-Numma from 4,000 years ago. The Bible was commissioned by successful Kings and updated by hundreds of scholars and historians, which explains why 800 Constitutions are based on the Bible since 1791.

The Bible explains how to build success reliably, based on the scientific observation of 2,000 years of civic rise and fall.

It’ s 73-books had to be written in a storytelling format as was needed by the illiterate populations of its era; but 5-billion copies are printed in 700 languages and each explains a Plan for successful civilizations.

EVERY nation that ensures all of the Bible’s Human Rights are advancing today, while …

EVERY nation (over 15 million in population) that use only a part of its Constitution – are collapsing and collapse every 60-years like clockwork

Leadership in the Bible – is taught as a trinity of essential values and behaviours:

1. Good (Systemic empathy – in actions and in laws – in “Lord”),
2. Respect (The Golden Rule), and
3. Creation (the building and the shepparding of Human Advance)

These values were as important to a nation’s success when they were explained by the teaching tools of a Father, Son, and Holy Spirit 1,700 years ago; as they are in scientific econometric surveys of 220 countries today.

Harmful ideologies are “false idols” in the Bible (Neoliberalist Wealth Theory, Feminism’s Diversity & Inclusion Hiring Laws, NAZIism, LEFT versus RIGHT Divisionism, Rugged Individualism’s Cold Indifference to neighbours); Oligarchy merchants and Economic Powers were “the Beast”.

Does anyone imagine that the NAZI party interviewed top position candidates to ensure they aligned with party “values”? Of course they did.  NAZIism is a harmful ideology, not a value – and we have forgotten this important lesson again today.

“The Book” explains in a single book, the Bible’s essential lessons in civics, education, Constitutions, and Rules of Law; alongside the quantitative science that today’s educated and literate populations need too. Like the Bible, The Book’s purpose is to build reliable success in economies, communities, and in good lives – across nations.

Community gatherings, scientific lessons, and the many social supports provided by our churches are essential, but we don’t want the religious theory that collapsed us in the middle ages, and we don’t want the secular theory that collapses us today either. What we want is a Scientific Society and the reliable success that this ensures.

The Book teaches us how to double economies by advancing our societies together – without division, without poverty, without wars, and without the guesswork, collapse, and lies that we see, or omissions we don’t see, in reporting today.

Order your First Edition First Printing boxed and signed Collectors Edition of “The Book” here.

TE is a science of Observation and not Theory

Extend your Standard of Research today to include TE’s evidence-based scientific method. TE is the first evidence-based and observation-based science for economics, law, finance, business, government, and social studies faculties.

By ranking TE Proof Chart amplitudes taken from survey scores in hundreds of nations, we can find any indicator’s importance and probability of success.

TE sorts all results to find the highest-ranking measures, and confirms their causality by validating cause and effects (of policies) observed: in history; during past mature capitalisms, in past periods of inflation or production growth, in times of war, collapse, advance, and similar.

The following table shows 1600+ indicators ranked by TEP Scores for Social Contract, 10-year Change, Trade Balance, Population, High Income Nations, and combinations of these measures too, summarizing 25,000 frequency distribution reports.

TEP chart scores are frequency distribution surveys of 28 to 220 nations using a data science approach similar to Six Sigma and Pareto, which we call the Science of 70%.

Web-based tables allow resorting by column easily (see an example in Data Science below) and this makes the analysis of important indicators and combinations straightforward. The methods we use to determine rank – by Industry, by Causality, by Nation, by Role, and by Planning Approach, can be viewed at WAOH and the curricula explained in Global Leadership’s Book of Knowledge (GL-BOK).

The Science of 70%’s threshold permits us to classify that a nation as collapsing or advancing broadly, and then use Threshold Analytics (above) to correct this problem.

With a clear understanding of important stats for every country, computer science can easily identify opportunities for advance, and then set targets that are mathematically assured to advance societies and economies in every nation.

By observing nations from many points of view, this simple approach ensures that no theory is needed, that findings are absolutely truthful and important, and TE is easily and transparently understandable, repeatable, deterministic, and teachable as well.

Economies are high-transaction systems, so aligning your nation with highest-probability-of-success measures can ensure success reliably here.

The Book is CSQ’s first thesis to introduce The Global Leadership Book of Knowledge (GL-BOK), which explains MEMS‘ sophisticated computer science charting and table visualization capabilities – available to schools, finance, and government groups; and, these reports are also available at the WAOH Econometric Library (World at our Hands Report) in a simpler form. WAOH is already the largest context-managed econometric library of its kind in the world today – and MEMS more than doubles that database.

A non-science, looks like Marx’s terms and theories; unmeasurable, unscientific, ambiguous, and unreported too. Neoliberalism, Libertarian, Individualism, Wealth Theory, Right, Left, Micro or Macroeconomics, and similar. None of these theory-based curricula are scientific and ALL are only harmful 100%

America lost 58,000 sons in the Vietnam War to “Defend Capitalism”. Which capitalism was that? Was it the capitalism that created the Great Depression, or the capitalism that FDR used to create the greatest economy and society in history? Vietnam won that war; surely they must be “communists” today? 100% Nonsense  …

Now that we have a science, what can we learn and validate?

How does Social Contract build strong Economies reliably?

Freedom – in a monetary system is your reliable Salary minus Cost of Living (CoL). When salaries fall below Cost of Living, freedom is lost in the new imbalance; when salary falls to CoL, starvation wages replace Social Contract and economies stall. These problems can grow unreported and uncorrected for decades in large democracies. Why? Because we don’t:

1. teach responsible civics
2. monitor and report these imbalances
3. correct these expensive, dangerous problems before they can balloon to collapse any nation

This measurable definition of freedom is the only one we should be using. Instead, “Freedom” is one of the most abused terms in politics for a century and more. Even when you do notice the problem, identification does not solve the problem. Solving big problems requires that you only place your vote with groups that understand leadership and are committed to implementing measurable advance in this essential target – of “freedom”.

In nations where your Constitution does not protect citizens from ballot cards filled with unscientific political groups and policies, NEVER give your vote to a LEFT or RIGHT political group. The only “side” that we MUST vote for is “Advance”; see an example of a scientific political group on a thesis-based ACT Party website. ACT Parties drive social and economic success reliably using scientific performance monitoring and are only permitted to support policies proven to advance nations with a highest probability of success.

Individual financial freedom permits Productivity, while failed freedoms deny productivity and also undermine good lives; weakening Social Contract and the social benefits that come from our being able to make Common Sense decisions – for moral reasons.

Imbalances during Mature Capitalisms

If you give any population one million dollars each, sixty years later you will have gross inequity – as a mathematic certainty. Leadership and policy determine economic and social collapse or advance 100% so when government policies permit economies to collapse from this imbalance, countries descend into populism and create a powder-keg that any spark can then turn into revolutions and also world wars.

Today, we live in a global Mature Capitalism. There were more conflicts in the past decade (2010-2020) than in any other decade in history – caused by the hardships and lost freedoms created by wealth and income inequity, starvation/slave wages, and high costs of living internationally.

90% of the planet have no pensions (ILO), salaries have to increase by 100% to catch up with income stagnations that began in the 1970s, and 130-million U.S. citizens live in starvation wages that lose the county $30 billion per day today.

Blue-collar workers own modest homes, modest savings, healthcare, and pensions, but 40% of Americans do not have that; they own nothing (0.3% – in the 2010 Federal Reserve Report to the left). In the 1920s, we saw that the unemployed were lazy, that governments and governance should be small, and that business and finance needed laissez-faire and open markets; politicians who voted for the policies of wealthy sponsors were made rich in preferred stock and real estate deals.

Divorce, poverty, and homelessness rose while homeownership fell – to truly alarming levels. These “Neoliberalist” policies proved unsustainable, and it was the corrections of all of these policies in the 1930s and 40s that created the greatest economy and society in history.

We forgot all of these hard-learned lessons as our fortunes improved in the 1980s and 90s, until we returned to the policies of the 1920s again – along with all of their Social Contract Loss costs and broad collapses.

Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it. … George Santayana

Transition Economics’ Proofs and Social Contract Product (SCP) Report explain and prove that strong social contracts build strong economies; where GDP Reports hide social costs and allow Social Contracts and productivity to diminish.

SCP, SC, and Social Contract Loss (SCL) Reports, cast into sharp relief the high cost of an unproductive population. Social Contract Reports recognize problems and work the solution to pre-empt the collapses that we see today.

A 600-page thesis called End of War explains “the how”, the solution(s) step-by-step – both national and international. We aren’t the first to do this, of course, CSQ stands in good company alongside the great leadership example left by Hammurabi, Constantine, Aristotle, Henry Ford, Franklin Delano Roosevelt, and a handful of history’s great thinkers and problem solvers.

Prime Minister Jean Cretien accomplished the largest budget surplus in Canadian History – $1 billion in a single year. This is a reported statistic. Today, the Canadian economy loses close to $3 billion dollars per day to its falling Social Contract; this is an unreported statistic. Now, ask yourself, does it make more common sense to drive austerity measures that will surely shrink a stalled economy further – but achieve a balanced budget, or is it better to drive SEED opportunity investment that has a track record of building a robust economy, building the economic pie larger – and putting a stop to the $3 billion dollars a day in Social Contract Loss?

In the U.S., this SC-Loss costs them $30 billion – per day… First, you grow your economic Pie larger, and then, you pay your bills with the considerably larger resources – or through debt forgiveness. Do you imagine that your’s is the only untrained democracy to have its national debts run up by the Reagan-era’s unsustainable policy of Low Tax (Zero Tax for the rich)? Not by a long shot; many countries stand in the same quagmire today.

Add COVID19’s economic interruption, and it’s probably a very good time to also discuss debt forgiveness as we did in the 1930s when near-every European leader simply agreed responsibly to write down huge sums of national debt.

Capitalisms created strong Social Contracts better than state-owned productions did, after the fall of monarchies in the early 1900s.

Monetary systems mature into imbalance near the end of a compound interest-driven 60-year cycle. Mature unbalanced economies need active correction by Governments in order to rebalance the ratios between Salaries and Cost of Living, and to ensure the opportunity is available as needed to relaunch a new monetary system cycle painlessly.

Henry Ford didn’t invent the assembly line, his great contribution to humanity was his reinvention of the Living Wage – during the Second Industrial Revolution (1895-1930). Severe inequity had stalled world economies for fully two millennia – in the dark and middle ages. A clear view of what inequality builds can be seen in any chart of 2000-year GDPs per Capita prior to 1890.

Read about the Social Contract Product Report in End of War – Managing Mature Capitalisms and click here to see the SCP Report for 2019 

Monetary Systems are Simple

So, what have we learned here? After trading countries outgrew bartering, token-passing was adopted. Coins, then paper money, and finally electronic records and currencies were created. There are 180-national currencies worldwide, not counting thousands of crypto-currencies.

In 1920, our last mature capitalism, the value of money was determined by the Gold Standard – based on the Gold Reserves that a nation held. Today, money’s value is based on a Fiat System – the creation of Debt (Bonds) and a nation’s ability to pay back that debt – also called The Dollar Standard.

A Foreign Exchange market sets prices for one currency against another but it’s a brand new standard too as it was created just in 1971 – just fifty-years-ago. Money is printed from thin-air with Quantitative Easing, when many nations cooperate to print money together, thereby not harming any one nation’s valuations compared to other currencies. Everyone’s paper money value is lowered, but it was based only on “belief of value” to begin with either way.

In short, “money for governments” should not be confused with “money for individuals and businesses”, as these are two very different discussions – with different rules. Money “supply”, that isn’t the problem; rather, it’s the “distribution” of money that advances or collapses a nation 100%

Henry Ford’s Living Wage created our contemporary economies – because for the first time ever in history – money made it into the hands of an entire population. This created Productivity – and as I already mentioned, Productivity builds strong economies reliably.

A nation like the UAE that SEEDs productivity to all of its citizens, has done incredible things. As I write this, a UAE rover is circling MARs. A country that does not allow money to distribute, with scale-up trickle-down high-inequity Wealth-theory policy, collapses.

Every nation loses $4 billion daily – unreported – to Social Contract Loss and this is the reason we highly recommend using SCP Reports rather than meaningless GDP Reports here.

A growing or declining GDP Report does not indicate that a nation is advancing or collapsing – but an SCP Report does

Transition Economics manages Monetary System Cycles

Monetary system cycles begin balanced – and then they imbalance over time. Can an economy be managed to prevent imbalance? Yes; this is Transition Economic’s primary focus.

Monetary system cycles – are manageable in two ways: a) Governments can actively ensure that the ratio (balance) between reliable salaries and cost-of-living, stays in-balance annually. This is similar to CPI (Consumer Price Index) corrections but more sweeping to include all costs (housing, etc.) and salary levels. b) Governments can simply allow open markets to unbalance themselves – and then, when social hardships become too great, the government of the day can reset the monetary system cycle to a new balance and a new cycle again.

The Code of Hammurabi and the Bible/Torah (Leviticus 25-26) suggested this second option in an era when monarchs had the authority to make sweeping economic resets easily. A fiftieth-year Jubilee Year was suggested to pre-empt the hardships of a mature monetary system’s 60-year cycle. “Reset” policies included: Universal Debt forgiveness, wealth redistributions, and a concerted effort to reset the balanced “American Dream” conditions that we should see at the beginning of any new cycle.

“25:10 Consecrate the fiftieth Jubilee Year and proclaim liberty throughout the land… 35. If any of your fellows become poor and are unable to support themselves among you, help them as you would a foreigner and stranger, so they can continue to live among you. 36 Do not take interest or any profit from them … so that they may continue to live among you. 37 You must not lend them money at interest or sell them food at a profit.”

Leviticus 25-26

Uncorrected, Mature Capitalisms are incredibly expensive; we see this here above in Social Contract Loss report Pie Charts. GDP Reports completely hide the productivity losses created when 40%+ of an entire population experiences starvation wages. The average economy loses an unreported $4.3 billion every day today.

When we don’t know what to stand for, we can fall for anything…

It’s a solvable problem; CSQ’s Data Research group builds MEMS for the exact purpose of correcting and turning around the specific policies responsible for economic loss and social collapse, and ACT Parties – simply do exactly what FDR did to create the greatest economy in history.

FDR turned our last Mature Capitalism into the American Dream and greatest economy of all time, with policies of high wealth and income redistribution (92% income and 80% estate taxes – for 20-years), nationalism, full-employment, an empathetic Second Bill of Rights, a strong social contract, family values, and America’s mature and affordable home-ownership and capital formation systems.

There was no socialism in the mix but there was a lot of change to social programs, living wages, and opportunity. Eleanor Roosevelt carried these policies on to become the U.N’s Universal Declaration of Human Rights in 1948. Truman’s Marshall Plan rolled this learning into the Constitutions of Japan, Italy, and Germany – which are the only G7s with advancing economies today.

FDR’s Second Bill of Rights is considered America’s greatest export in many European nations. The question for democratic law-makers and academics today becomes, should the messaging of special interest groups continue to misrepresent and even vilify those proven solutions?

Invariably, it is the poor – that suffers due to economic problems, Oligarchs are not personally impacted by their poor decision-making as a point of fact and circumstance.

Conflicts of interest – must be announced as a management best-practice but in democracies, individuals with personal investments in unsustainable policy are not required to disclose and exclude themselves from votes in support of their own interests.

Self-promoting, Advertising, or Opinion; should be communicated transparently at the very least. A scientific Standard of Research and policy Proofs, can cancel out harmful theory, ideology, and “logic” arguments, and ensures corruptions both intentional and unintentional, are dismissed to preserve advance and common sense.

Where Economics teaches how economies should work, TE teaches how economies actually do work

TE’s WAOH Econometrics Library showcases Context Methods, evidentiary data, scientific method, and rapidly-maturing infographic tools – as needed to explain economies easily – and all of this information is available in just the past five years really.

Where Micro and Macroeconomics are entirely theoretical and are also proven to fail (to not manage the imbalances of mature capitalisms, automation, nor Social Contracts), Transition Economics’ scientific approach teaches credible, quantitative, disambiguated terms and proofs that can ensure strong economies at any phase of a monetary system’s life-cycle.

Important

Creating a 100% False Peer-Review Rate in faculties of Economics, Government, and Business, as we certainly have today, also creates a systemic academic mediocracy; an upside-down state where non-experts are credentialed, while experts are denied credentialing. Experts can be expected to refuse to follow, memorize, and advance, socially irresponsible fiction (proven-failed theory is termed “fiction” in Scientific Method); there can be no surprise in this.

The Great Resignation – is the result of our societies being taught that business grads (non-expert CPA accountants, non-expert MBAs, and non-expert Human Resources admins) should hire similar non-experts only and then install them into leadership positions and Boards too. MBAs, CPAs, and HR admins are trained in Wealth Theory which is proven to collapse nations reliably, and they’re typically younger. Aristotle explained that young, ambitious people focus on themselves, bonuses, and do anything they are told to do, which is why leaders must be experts and heads of households with launched children(in their twenties).

Filling leadership positions with non-leaders assures collapse in any society. Non-experts can never be leaders, as we see in collapsing North American businesses and governments today. The social and economic costs and risks are too high, too dangerous, unnecessary, preventable, and correctable.

Low Productivity and Social Contracts cost each nation an average $4 billion daily; $30 billion per day in America. We are all at our lowest production growth levels since the 1930s, and Mature Capitalisms globally risk the lives of billions in their first repeating occurrence in a mature nuclear age.

Sciences like Transition Economics are presently being refused reading at not less than eight leading international Economics Faculties and now a CASE STUDY paper is created. Academic Presidents, researchers, and Social Faculty leaders should encourage the adoption of scientific and evidence-based curricula as their highest priority today.

Read the “Adoption” chapter below to understand why academia’s reluctance to change is absolutely normal historically, as seen in any swollen bureaucracy also.