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     etilley 
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    Sustaining Populations

    Sustaining Populations in human communities happens very reliably when economic opportunity and the things we need – like shelter, family, education, food, and security – exist comfortably in a society.

    To prove this, think-tank CSQ Research researchers took birthrate records from Canada, Germany, Holland, Britain and the United States – from as far back as 1800 (when record keeping is easily available for download on the internet), and averaged these per-family birthrates within LongWave, or Kondratiev K-Wave, economic seasons. We chose these countries because since 1945, these were reasonably prosperous countries compared to others.

    During our most recent Spring season – which are times of economic ease and booms, average births per woman was three (between 1945 and 1965). This dropped to two children per family during the summer season ending in 1984. From this point on, average children per women dropped to below sustaining levels between 1.7 and 1.8 through to today.

    Before 1945, birthrates were higher on average in these countries due to lower levels of prosperity (see the chart maintained by the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency), but nevertheless we always see that Spring birthrates are higher than Summer and recession and depression seasons in Autumn and Winter.

    Avoiding Overcrowding

    Look no further than economic austerity to explain large birthrates in poor countries the same. The above study of 82 countries by the CIA shows that impoverished communities have much higher birthrates – most likely due to high infant mortality and poor economic opportunities in retirement years as well.

    Overcrowding is a relative thing too, the largest population on the planet is located on the island of Java in Indonesia, where 130 million souls live on an island approximately 60% the size of Great Britain happily enough. Applying this population density to the habitable areas of our earth leaves us with more room than we will overpopulate in 1000 lifetimes. I enjoyed Dan Brown’s books quite a bit until I got to Inferno – and then realized there’s much ado about nothing here basically.

    To sustain populations and avoid overcrowding our planet, just ensure abundance and prosperity.

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